That said, there may be cases where you don't pick up the founding clone, especially when you're doing targeted or exome sequencing, or in tumors with very low mutation rates.
That's an interesting thought. For my samples I have exome sequencing data of 300x depth. At such a high depth I would expect the mutations present in all tumor cells (which would be the founding clone) to be detected, as you write in this paper:
Despite additional complexity from factors like contamination of non-tumor cells, tumor heterogeneity, and aneuploidy, cancer genomes have generally been sequenced to comparable depths, typically between 30x and 50x mean coverage (Borad et al., 2014 and Mardis, 2012). While this is enough coverage to discover SNVs in the founding clones of high-purity tumors, most tumors are not pure
But if what you say is true, I still think it strange that in two consecutive samples from the same patient I cannot detect a founding clone in both cases. I could miss it in one because of technical issues regarding how the biopsy was made, and the sequencing, but I don't think it would make sense to miss it in both. Unless that founding clone consists of mutations that occured only in the non-coding region of the genome. I could not find examples of that in the litterature, but I might of course have overlooked something.
To my mind, the only solution that makes sense both biologically and mathematically is that one you propose: the samples I am struggling with must have a much lower tumor purity than first estimated by the pathologist.